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The September Surge Is Coming — Here's How to Tell Which Jobs Are Real

By Mindy Thomas

The September Surge Is Coming — Here's How to Tell Which Jobs Are Real

Every August, I have some version of this conversation.

Someone tells me they applied to sixty, eighty, a hundred jobs over the summer. Tailored the resume. Wrote the cover letter. Hit submit. And heard nothing — not a rejection, not an interview, not even an automated "we've moved forward with other candidates." Just silence, over and over, until they started to believe something was wrong with them.

Here's what I tell them, and what I want you to hear before Labor Day: some of those jobs were never going to hire anyone.

That's not a conspiracy theory. It's a documented feature of how companies post work right now. And with hiring about to pick up this fall, knowing which postings are real is the single fastest way to stop wasting your energy.

First, the good news about fall

The "September Surge" is real, and it's simple to explain. Summer vacations end, budgets get reviewed, managers come back to a desk full of work they've been putting off, and companies start pushing to fill roles before the end of the year. Indeed has noted that fall hiring activity tends to mirror the January rush — the two busiest stretches on the calendar.

I'll be honest with you about this year, though: 2026 is a more cautious market than the ones we saw a few years back. Employers are hiring, but slowly, with more approvals and longer timelines. I wrote about that at length in why the job market feels so tough right now. So expect more postings after Labor Day — just don't expect a stampede.

Which makes it even more important that you spend those applications well.

The bad news: a real chunk of postings aren't real jobs

They're called ghost jobs — listings that stay up when nobody is actually going to be hired into them.

Greenhouse, one of the biggest applicant tracking platforms in the country, analyzed its own listings and found that 18% to 22% of postings in any given quarter are ghost jobs. Roughly one in five.

And the recruiters themselves aren't shy about it. In a MyPerfectResume survey of recruiters, 81% admitted their company had posted a job that was fake or already filled. Their reasons, in their own words:

  • 38% post to keep a presence on job boards even when they aren't hiring
  • 36% are testing whether a job description attracts good candidates
  • 26% are building a talent pool for roles that might open later
  • 24% want to look like the company is growing during a hiring freeze

Read that last one again. Nearly a quarter of these postings exist to make a company look healthy while it isn't hiring at all.

So when you send a strong resume into a void and hear nothing back, there's a real chance the void was the whole point. It's not you. Some of those doors were painted on.

How to spot a ghost before you apply

You'll never catch all of them. But ten minutes of checking will save you hours of applying.

Check the posting date, and check it again. A role that's been live for 60, 90, 120 days without changing is a warning sign. So is a listing that disappears and reappears with a fresh date every few weeks — that's often a repost to keep it near the top, not a new opening.

Look for the same job in three places. Real openings get pushed to the company's own careers page. If a job is on LinkedIn or a job board but nowhere on the employer's site, be skeptical. If it's on the careers page with a recent date and a named hiring manager or recruiter, that's a good sign.

Read the job description for specificity. Real roles come with real details: who you report to, what the team is working on, what the first six months look like. Ghost postings tend to be generic — a wish list of skills with no shape to the actual job.

Check the company's recent news. Layoffs, a hiring freeze, an acquisition in progress? Postings often stay up during all three, long after anyone is authorized to make an offer.

See if a human is attached. On LinkedIn, look at whether the posting names a recruiter and whether that person has posted about the role. A recruiter actively talking about a job is a recruiter who has a job to fill.

Ask, plainly. If you get a recruiter on the phone, "Is this role approved and budgeted, and when are you hoping someone starts?" is a completely professional question. Real openings have real answers. Vague ones tell you what you need to know.

What to do with the hours you get back

Here's the part I care about most, because this is where people actually change their outcomes.

If one in five listings is a ghost, the answer isn't to apply to more of them. It's to apply to fewer, better — and to spend the reclaimed time on the channels ghosts can't touch.

Go where the postings aren't. A conversation with someone who works at a company tells you in five minutes what no listing will: whether the team is actually growing. Referrals also skip the pile entirely.

Make the applications you do send count. When you cut your list from forty postings to twelve real ones, you can finally tailor each one properly — matching the language of the posting so it survives the screening software. That's exactly the process I walk through in how I make sure a resume passes the ATS.

Let recruiters find you. Ghost jobs are a one-way street. Inbound interest isn't. If your LinkedIn profile hasn't been touched this year, start with my 10-point LinkedIn audit.

Get ready for a fast process. When a real fall opening does move, it moves quickly — and increasingly the first gate is an interview that isn't conducted by a human at all. Be ready before the calendar invite lands, not after.

You are not the problem

If I could get one message through to every person grinding through applications this summer, it's this: the silence you're hearing is not a verdict on your worth. Part of it is a cautious market. Part of it is software. And part of it, measurably, is doors that were never open.

You can't fix the market. You can stop spending yourself on postings that were never going to hire anyone, and put that energy into the twelve roles that are real — with a resume that's built to survive the screen and a story that makes a human want to meet you.

That's the work I do with clients every day: figuring out which opportunities are worth your time, and making sure you're the strongest candidate in the room when one of them is. If you're heading into this fall tired of shouting into the void, book a free discovery call. Twenty minutes on the phone, and you'll leave with a plan for the next six weeks.

The surge is coming. Let's make sure you're aiming at the real ones.

Ready to put the advice to work?

Reading is a start. A conversation with Mindy about your resume, your search, and your next move is where it becomes a plan.

Book a Discovery Call

Or call Mindy directly: 610.937.5632